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TUESDAY, 22 NOVEMBER, 2010

47TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE ASSASSINATION

Most of us old folks remember exactly where we were and what we were doing when President Kennedy was killed. Pridger was home in Illinois after being discharged from active service in the Navy, and preparing to head for California to seek his fortune as a civilian sailor. He heard the news while having a bite of lunch – noodle soup, to be exact – in a small restaurant. Then he visited the library, and heard the news again.

The truth about the assassination has not yet been officially recognized, though more and more is coming out leading in that direction. Most of us don't believe Lee Harvey Oswald was the assassin. Not long ago, long-time CIA man, and Watergate "burglar," H. Howard Hunt made a startling confession on his death bed. He claimed he was part of the Big Event, and he was one of the few who had always claimed he did not exactly remember where he was on the 22nd of November, 1963.

JQP  

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN?

The Federal Reserve has become the largest holder of the U.S. national debt, and it's share is increasing. Should we look at this as an alarming development, as most do? Yes and no. The reason Pridger says yes and no is because we should all know that debt is bad, but at the same time we should certainly realize that debt to foreigners is far worse than owning the debt ourselves – or at least to an entity that is reputed to be a domestic national public asset such as the Federal Reserve System. The FED might be a banking cartel that fall considerably short of being "We the People," but at least it isn't China, Japan, or the European Union.

The following graph and short article by Tyler Durden, published at Zero Hedge.com, calls our attention to what he points out as the "Beginning of the Ponzi End." 

The Beginning Of The Ponzi End: As Of Today, The Biggest Holder Of US Debt Is Ben Bernanke

by Tyler Durden, Zero Hedge

Well, folks, it's official - mark November 22, 2010 in your calendars - today is the day the Ponzi starts in earnest. With today's $8.3 billion POMO monetization, the Fed's official holdings of US Treasury securities now amount to $891.3 billion, which is higher than the second largest holder of US debt: China, which as of September 30 held $884 billion, and Japan, with $864 billion. The purists will claim that the TIC data is as of September 30, and that as the weekly custodial account shows UST buying continues the data is likely not correct. They will be wrong: with the Fed now buying about $30 billion per week, or about $120 billion per month, for the foreseeable future and beyond, it would mean that China would need to buy a comparable amount to be in the standing. It won't. In other words, the Ponzi operation is now complete, and the Fed's monetization of US debt has made it not only the largest holder of such debt, but made external funding checks and balances in the guise of indirect auction bidding, irrelevant. For what tends to happen next in comparable case studies, please read the Dying of Money. And congratulations to China for finally not being the one having the most to lose on a DV01 basis on that day when the inevitable surge in interest rates finally happens. That honor is now strictly reserved for America's taxpayers.

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/today-biggest-holder-us-debt-united-states-america  

Is it better to be in debt to China, Japan, and the United Kingdom than to the Federal Reserve?

From Pridger's perspective, when the "inevitable surge in interest rates finally happens" the less interest going to foreign debt-holders the better. American taxpayers are going to be caught on the hook no matter to whom or what the interest is payable. It's better for American taxpayers to be have to pay interest into their own system than into the coffers of foreign competitors, or offshore hedge funds. The statement that "That honor is now strictly reserved for American taxpayers" appears ridiculous. The honor goes to American taxpayers no matter who owns the debt! 

It's an unfortunate fact that the share of our debt owned by the Fed is money manufactured out of nothing for the benefit of domestic financial interests, and was largely created for nefarious purposes masquerading as economic stimulus. It is inflation money, of course, and the chairman of the Fed has admitted that higher inflation is part of the goal with QE2. But the money that is created by foreign purchases of Treasury bonds are inflationary in their own right, and the debt is external, thus more dangerous than if it was internal.

Where is Germany in the above graph? Germany was once one of our major creditors. What happened, is Germany's creditor status now negligible?

JQP


FRIDAY, 19 NOVEMBER, 2010

INTERESTING THINGS ARE BREAKING

Something interesting seems to be happening at FOX News. Judge Napolitano has been breaking ice for some time on his Liberty Watch. But with Geraldo Rivera suddenly tilting toward 9/11 Truth, and Glenn Beck going on the offensive against George Soros, one has to wonder what is going on. Both of these things are quite surprising, and possibly very significant. Could this mean that Fox News is going to begin outing the deceivers? If so, what is really going on? Are all of the elements of a perfect storm coalescing? Could a simmering volcano of suppressed truth soon erupt and infect the entire nation? We'll have to stay tuned for the answers.

The other big deal is the big hoopla being made over TSA's full body scanners and enhanced, and very intimate, pat-down security procedures. Things like this tend to follow a well established pattern. Draconian measures are initiated in the name of security, and soon then they are relaxed – but never back to former levels.

Keeping us safe? Where will it end up? Everybody knows the safest place is a locked padded room. Next best thing is a fenced camp, to keep the crazies out. Like tyranny, the security state always advances and never gives up. Any retreats are ruses to further the advance later on.

Pridger observed soon after 9/11 that we'd entered into the perfect security state situation. We'd embarked on an open-ended global war against "terrorism" – an exceedingly slippery term. They'd finally contrived the perfect formula and excuse for "Perpetual War for Perpetual Peace."

Naturally, every man, woman, and child in the world capable of terrorist acts, or potentially subject to being used by terrorists, is a potential terrorist suspect. And under our present multi-cultural social arrangement that declares discrimination on the basis of race, religion, and national origin, etc., illegal, racial profiling based on those obvious things are illegal. That means it's illegal to target the most likely suspects for enhanced security checks.

That's a hell of a situation for any land of freedom and liberty to find itself in. In the name of national security, every man, woman, and child is being treated as a terrorist suspect in our airports. The whole nation is becoming fed up with it.

If 95% of the terrorists happen to be Arab Muslims, it becomes necessary to subject everybody – ALL men, women, and children, of every race, religion, and national background – to the very same degree of scrutiny and security screening that Arab Muslims should perhaps be subjected to. We can't profile Arab Muslims, so we must treat everybody as if they were Arab Muslims.

We're reacting to the "underwear bomber" and "ink-toner" bombs at the moment. Before that it was the "shoe bomber." Before that it was the "chemical bomber." Before that it was the threat of "sharp objects," like box-cutters (knives, hat pins, fingernail files, scissors, pens, pencils, etc.). Who knows what will be next? Maybe the "breast implant" or "colon" bombers. The next security step might be full body cat scans. Opt out and you get an enema flush-out, or at least a colonoscophy and stomach probe.

With literally everybody a potential terrorist suspect, causing us to spend billions upon billions of dollars on airport security, the real terrorists (whether in Afghan caves or corporate suites), have already won a major battle, simply by instilling fear and helping Congress bankrupt the nation.

In the mean time the "authorities" go out of their way to entice stupid young Muslims to become bombers so they can catch them in order to prove that there is a real threat and that they are keeping us safe.

OPT OUT – DRIVE – OR TAKE A BUS OR TRAIN!

Of course, Pridger flies just as little as possible. In fact, he hasn't boarded an aircraft in over 30 years. He's always believed, as in the case of most wonderful ultra-modern things, that air-travel has been totally over-promoted and over-done. It makes what was once a wonderfully large and diverse world embarrassingly small and increasingly homogenous and less interesting.  

Because of the increasing demands for airport security, there is no longer any real market correlation between the actual costs of flying and what fliers pay for their tickets. The air travel industry no longer pays it's own way (if it ever did). This, of course, is anti-free market.

Without huge subsidies, for such things as airport infrastructure, air-traffic control people and systems, security screening, etc., the air travel industry would have to charge passengers a lot more and perhaps shrink to more reasonable levels. Maybe international travelers would be able to travel by ship again. The cruise ship industry might be able to transform itself from focusing exclusively on pointless "party package cruises" into meaningful travel companies – carrying passengers to all points of the world – real travel, for real travelers who are not in a hurry.

IMAGINE THIS...

All air passengers – hundreds of millions of them – are being screened before boarding airliners in the name of national security. This sort of security has been going on for a long time. It's just getting tighter, more invasive, more high tech, and more degrading to air-travelers – not to mention exponentially more costly!

Yet the only alleged terrorist bombers that have been caught have been the very few that got through airport security. Many suspect that those who did get through got through (with help) for a purpose – that purpose being to ratchet up of public anxiety, and perhaps to justify enhanced security measures, which are very lucrative to certain business interests as well as fertilizer for the growth of the national security state.

They are talking about the same sort of security procedures for buses and trains as time goes on. But by far the easiest terrorist targets are not airplanes, buses, or trains. They are cities! It happened on 9/11, of course, in a very spectacular, made for reality TV, way. Airliners were used to make it as spectacular as possible – as if the script was actually written and acted out, Hollywood style, by sophisticated script writers. Some people believe it was written that way, for maximum effect. The question is, by whom? Osama? Unlikely. One thing we can be quite certain of is that it wasn't Obama.

But the ideal terrorist bomb is the simple, universally available, automobile. Millions of trucks and cars enter every large city in a continuous stream day and night. The truck and car bomb, with a single suicide driver, are potentially the most effective terrorist devices of all – and they would certainly be the easiest to carry out. In fact we had a dry run of something like that with the Times Square bomber only a couple of months ago, but the driver got out and ran.

Imagine security checkpoints at every interstate, highway, or street, entering every major city! Imagine literally everybody entering a city being stopped and having to get out of their vehicles for a pat-down or body scan. That's what it would take for them (the government), to "keep us safe." Cities might be an increment safer, but they'd also be totally paralyzed.

Bringing down a jet airliner would only kill a few hundred people. Taking out a couple more huge buildings with a simple car or truck bomb could do a lot more. And a biological agent laden bomb could take out a lot more. A nuclear device could potentially wipe out even more.

They're talking about that scenario, of course, and have been for quite a while – but the terrorists, or they (whoever they might be), haven't pulled the big one off yet. Let's pray that they don't. But they are talking about it.

IDEAS FOR NATIONAL SECURITY

Quit the wars, and bring our troops home. Quit trying to run the world. De-fund and abolish the Department of Homeland Security. Stop arming foreign friends and enemies. Cut foreign AID back to humanitarian aid. Stop subsidizing the foreign competition and runaway flag "American" corporations. Start producing domestically again and cut international trade down to a truly beneficial level. Stop aborting American children and importing foreign replacements. Encourage sustainable diversified agricultural practices based on the the family farm system. Enforce our immigration laws.

Fences aren't the solution for our southern border. There isn't a fence that cannot be scaled, tunneled under, or flown over. Huge concrete fences at borders are Communist and Israeli solutions and are unworthy of a nation that purports to be a bastion of freedom. Stop destroying Mexican and third world farmers and small businesses with our "free trade." If they need help from us, it should be to assist them to develop an industrial capacity that produces for Mexicans rather than for Americans. Uplift Mexican labor within Mexico, and a more prosperous Mexican economy will evolve – as once happened in the United States.  

Stop the War on Drugs, legalize and control drugs internally, and wipe out the international illicit drug trade through lack of interest rather than by bombs, prisons, and bullets. Drugs are blamed for many social problems but, in reality, illicit drug use is mostly the result of social problems, which are in turn largely caused by the collapse of the culture and traditional norms of morality. The Drug Wars have done nothing to reverse the causes nor provide a remedy for the drug problems. It has merely empowered international drug lords and enabled a very lucrative illicit international drug trade – a problem that is literally destroying our neighbor to the south.

Completely legalize marijuana, since it is the least dangerous recreational drug and simply a weed that can be grown anywhere by anybody anyway. Additionally, it is a very valuable agricultural crop with dozen's of commercial applications from rope to fine paper and textiles, to biomass for alternative fuels. Just control and tax it's commercial sale as a "recreational drug," as alcoholic beverages are taxed and controlled.

The Drug War is not only destroying Mexico, it's helping to destroy us – and at great financial cost at that.    

JQP


MONDAY, 15 NOVEMBER, 2010

THE SIN OF QUANTITATIVE EASING

What's wrong with what is being called quantitative easing? Why is the act of monetizing the debt bad, when everybody knows that all of our money is already monetized debt anyway?

The simple answer is that it amounts to "self-dealing" and cheating at our own global game – a game that the rest of the world is obliged to play because our currency is the international reserve currency – the very yardstick against which all market values and foreign currencies are measured.

Our cheating is worse than simply self-dealing. The money being quantatized is going into the black holes the big banks have created rather than into the real economy. The FED is simply refilling the black holes of corruption. In the name of the taxpayer (no, they don't even pretend to represent the taxpayer!), our central bank is buying bad corporate bonds so the the corporate manipulators don't have to suffer their rightful losses!

SOME BACKGROUND 

The UN officially came into existence on 24 October 1945. But the government of the United States set itself up as the global money-master/paymaster before the end of World War Two, when victory was obviously at hand. It happened at the United Nations Monetary and Financial (Bretton Woods), Conference, in July of 1944). (Note that FDR started calling the allies the "United Nations" in the early war years.)

The World Bank, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), all came out of the Bretton Woods Conference, where globalist plans first took solid root in monetary and trade terms.

British economist, John Maynard Keynes, at that time proposed an International Clearing Union (ICU) to regulate the balance of trade, as well as an international trade currency he called the "bancor." These proposals may have helped to avoid the problems that we face today with both the major balance of trade problems and the dollar crisis.

Keynesian economics is often blamed for many of our present economic problems (since our government long ago adopted Keynesian deficit spending ideas), but that is perhaps mainly because we adopted the worst of his policies while rejecting the ones that might have worked on an international scale, or at least made the overall system work better than it has.

The American government, in the fresh glory of victory and unchallenged global power, rejecting Keynes's plan, preferring to make sure it would remain top dog. And one of the means that it would employ would to make the dollar the global reserve currency.

Lionel Robbins, a London School of Economics free market economist, said of the Keynes plan, "it would be difficult to exaggerate the electrifying effect on thought throughout the whole relevant apparatus of government ... nothing so imaginative and so ambitious had ever been discussed".

But American delegate, Harry Dexter White, said, "We have been perfectly adamant on that point. We have taken the position of absolutely no."

Instead he proposed an International Stabilization Fund (now the IMF), which would place the burden of maintaining the balance of trade on the deficit nations, and imposing no limit on the surplus that rich countries could accumulate ...

White managed to ensure that the US had special veto powers over any major decision made by the IMF or the World Bank, meaning effectively that their "conditionalities" in the way of strict institutional reforms are never imposed. Furthermore, the IMF insists that the foreign exchange reserves maintained by other nations are held in the form of dollars, so no matter how much debt the US accumulates, its economy will not collapse. (International Clearing Union emphasis added)

Obviously, though it worked for half a century, all of this has come back to bite us on the backside with the inevitable unintended consequences. In 1944-45 (and a long time prior to that), and until the early 1980s, we were the world's largest creditor nation. We were also the world's most industrially productive nation, and the world's largest exporting nation. We had a favorable balance of trade that lasted through the 1960s, and when we began to lose that, our fortunes really began to decline. With the advent of the welfare state while the costly Vietnam War was underway, it soon became necessary to adopt the worst of Keynesian economic policy while being unable to shelter ourselves from the very nature of our debt money system.

The Bretton Woods system was fatally flawed, of course, but it apparently took until about 1960 for any noted economist to point it out. In that year, Robert Triffin testified before the U.S. Congress, sounding the warning:

In 1960 Triffin testified before the United States Congress warning of serious flaws in the Bretton Woods system. His theory was based on observing the dollar glut, or the accumulation of the United States dollar outside of the US. Under the Bretton Woods agreement the US. had pledged to convert dollars into gold, but by the early 1960s the glut had caused more dollars to be available outside the US than gold was in its Treasury. As a result the US had to run deficits on the current account of the balance of payments to supply the world with dollar reserves that kept liquidity for their increased wealth. However, running the deficit on the current account of the balance of payments in the long term would erode confidence in the dollar. He predicted the result that the system would not maintain both liquidity and confidence, a theory later to be known as the Triffin dilemma. It was largely ignored until 1971, when his hypothesis became reality, forcing US President Richard Nixon to halt convertibility of the United States dollar into gold, an event with consequences known as the Nixon Shock). It effectively ended the Bretton Woods System. (See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Triffin)

Aside from the international aspect of our currency, any debt money system is a both a usurious system and Ponzi scheme. As such, it requires perpetual expansion in order to function. That means that business has to perpetually expand in order to cover financial costs plus interest. There can be no such thing as equilibrium, stability, or sustainability.

It means that the money supply must expand ahead of production and all business activity rather than grow because of it. So we had an endemically unsustainable global monetary system. Every dollar created spawned a dollar, plus interest, debt. Additionally, with the dollar serving as the global reserve currency, it had to be expanded globally in order to sustain increasing international business and commerce. (Initially, the Marshall Plan and other forms of foreign aid facilitated this. Subsequent wars did their share too, of course.) 

Bretton Woods, of course, depended upon a gold-backed dollar. By 1959, however, money began to exceed the amount of the gold that was supposed to back it. And the gold standard finally had to be totally abolished. It was clearly impossible for one nation, no matter how prosperous (unless it happened to have a near monopoly on gold production), to provide a global currency under a gold standard – and that should have been obvious from the very beginning!

In 1969, in preparation for that eventuality, the IMF created Special Drawing Rights (SDR) as an alternative global reserve currency, or at least trade currency. Initially SDRs were expressed as a weight of gold (0.888671 grams of gold), equal to the U.S. dollar at that time. Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods system, a basket of the major global currencies have been used. 

So Nixon was obliged to abandon the international gold standard, and slam the "gold window" in 1971 – a major repudiation of our international reserve currency commitment, and an effective declaration of national bankruptcy. After a painful global shake-out, with all currencies seeking new relationships, floating against the dollar, the dollar survived as the global reserve currency and SDRs were little used. The world was hooked on the dollar standard – a very flaky standard – and could do nothing about it.

It was madness to make our national currency the global reserve currency in the first place. We were thereby bound to lose effective control of our national economy in the fullness of time – in fact, we'd already lost control. But once free trade and globalism really began to take off, all hope of controlling our currency for the national benefit was history. Our commitment to free international trade (an ideal born at Bretton Woods), and the resultant problem is partially explained by the Triffin dilemma) – yet all the experts told us it was the most wonderful thing that had ever happened. 

The Triffin dilemma (less commonly the Triffin paradox) is the observation that when a national currency also serves as an international reserve currency (as the US dollar does today), there are fundamental conflicts of interest between short-term domestic and long-term international economic objectives. This dilemma was first identified by Belgian-American economist Robert Triffin in the 1960s, who pointed out that the country issuing the global reserve currency must be willing to run large trade deficits in order to supply the world with enough of its currency to fulfill world demand for foreign exchange reserves.

The use of a national currency as global reserve currency leads to a tension between national monetary policy and global monetary policy. This is reflected in fundamental imbalances in the balance of payments, specifically the current account: some goals require an overall flow of dollars out of the United States, while others require an overall flow of dollars in to the United States. Currency inflows and outflows of equal magnitudes cannot both happen at once.

The Triffin dilemma is usually used to articulate the problems with the US dollar's role as the reserve currency under the Bretton Woods system, or more generally of using a national currency as an international reserve currency.

...

Onset during Bretton Woods Era

Due to money flowing out of the country through the Marshall Plan, US defense-spending and Americans buying foreign goods, the number of U.S. dollars in circulation began to exceed the amount of gold backing them up in 1959.

By the fall of 1960, an ounce of gold could be exchanged for $40 in London, even though the price in the U.S. was $35. This difference showed that investors knew the dollar was overvalued and that time was running out.

There was a solution to the Triffin dilemma for the U.S.: reduce the number of dollars in circulation by cutting the deficit and raising interest rates to attract dollars back into the country.

Both these tactics, however, would drag the U.S. economy into recession, a prospect new President John F. Kennedy found intolerable, although he did sign an executive order allowing the US Treasury "to issue silver certificates against any silver bullion, silver, or standard silver dollars in the Treasury." This would create competition to the Federal Reserve Notes (dollars) that were overvalued.

To maintain the Bretton Woods system and exert control over the exchange rate of gold, the US initiated the creation of the London Gold Pool and the General Agreements to Borrow (GAB) in 1961 which sustained the system until 1967 when runs on gold and the devaluation of the pound sterling were followed by the demise of the system. (Emphasis added)
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triffin_dilemma)

Now the tables are totally turned and we have fallen victim of our own monetary and trade policies. We're now the world's largest debtor nation, with the largest trade deficit any nation has ever had. With a debt money system that has come to depend on foreign creditors to make legitimate, we're caught in a deadly trap of our own making.

From the 1980s until the present, our major financial institutions have progressively gone the extra mile to exponentially compound or economic problems under the cover of "too big to fail."

We've dropped the ball in so many ways, and engaged in too many economically and financially suicidal policies that there is no longer much comfort in the idea that "no matter how much debt the US accumulates, its economy will not collapse". Our economy is in collapse anyway. Our only defensive options are to continually borrow and debase our currency – a frightening box canyon with no way to go forward.

The destruction of the American economy was accomplished by de-industrialization, intentionally facilitated and encouraged by free trade policy and globalism – i.e., self-destructive national economic policy. It is impossible to imagine that this has not been intentional, and thus the result of a de facto conspiracy, at critical levels. The errors were simply far too obvious to have simply have been overlooked – they had to be vigorously protected and promoted!

For many decades, successive congresses and presidential administrations have been led down the primrose path to national economic destruction by somebody or something. It wasn't strictly a case of the blind leading the blind. Somebody, pulling all the right stings, knew exactly where all this was leading us and saw the goals very clearly.

So, in our present confused state, we change the rules at the end-game in a desperate effort to salvage an already wrecked train. Printing money (quantitative easing), is being done in the wrong way for the wrong reasons. But it's about the only thing that can be done from the perspective of the financial interests that are running the show. But in so doing, we are debasing the world's currency which is denominated in our own national debt for which the American taxpayer is supposedly liable as the world continues to depend on it. We're in the mother of all "damned if you do, damned if you don't" situations – headed for the edge of the cliff with our hands tied.

The world went along with our monetary regime because it had no other easy options, and still doesn't in the short term. But the only international legitimacy the debt dollar had was that it was founded on marketable securities which were supposed to be as good as gold in the bank. Treasury paper was supposed to be purchased by viable creditors, and the promise to repay, plus interest, gave the resultant money international legitimacy. But is the Federal Reserve a viable creditor? The world doesn't seem to think so, and quantitative easing is correctly viewed as monetary debasement – otherwise known as outright cheating.

It looks a little fishy, to say the least, when the right hand prints bonds and the left hand prints money to loan back to the right hand at interest. And then the right hand spends the money it still owes to the left hand. This is the epitome of smoke and mirror monetary policy in the guise of self-dealing. And its costing our "legitimate" creditors dearly while making them look like fools for investing in our so-called "bonded securities."

Our bonds are backed by nothing more than the "full faith and credit of the nation." And the money that is created based on those bonds, using them as collateral, is then loaned back to "We the People" at interest!!! Madness!
    Why not just issue dollar bills, United States Notes (greenbacks), backed by the "full faith and credit of the nation"? Why not cut out the expensive middlemen at the FED and other too big to fail banks and financial institutions?

With our monopoly on the global reserve currency, we were unassailable only as long as we were a great and expanding wealth-producing nation with a favorable balance of trade. We could be a credible debtor as long as our ability to produce wealth allowed us to keep all our creditors happy. Once we began to lag industrially, a Catch-22 situation developed – an impossible situation. When we lost our former enviable position, and subsequently lost our position of being the world's biggest creditor, and became the world's biggest debtor, we took comfort, in the theory that our huge un-payable debt to the world conveyed de facto ownership of the world. Like Bear Stearns, we imagined ourselves too big to fail and still do. But humble pie could be in the offing.

China has become the big wild card in the deck. It has risen (with our concerted assistance), like a meteor to become our primary industrial producer and creditor. It makes things! Chinese workers are producing lots and lots of real wealth, and they are making and saving plenty of money. They are literally running rings around us! And (big surprise!), with our economic down-turn, the Chinese economy is poised to overtake the American economy in size much sooner than anybody dreamed. It fact, China has probably already surpassed the United States in real production. It became our largest creditor several years ago, and militarily is already a rival super-power. 

While we now beg China for credit, and attempt to get it to revalue it's currency upward, our quantitative easing, is a direct slap in China's face, and China probably doesn't like being made a fool of. Could anybody blame it?

Of course, we're saying that China is trying to make a fool of us, by keeping their own currency artificially low. But, really, we've simply made a fool of ourselves. We actually insisted on it, and we were very glad to take advantage of China's cheap labor. China pegged its currency to the dollar at the very beginning of the game – our leaders were ecstatic – and China delivered the goods! WalMart is thriving!

While we accuse China of manipulating it's own national currency, we are manipulating the world's currency by inflating and debasing its purchasing power, and this impacts everybody that holds dollar assets, not just China. And this is why quantitative easing is considered such a bad thing. This willful inflation of the currency will particularly impact poor Americans, and those on fixed retirement incomes. And the debt that is incurred in the process will continue to impact American taxpayers for generations to come! If they come.

The rationale that the Treasury and Fed give for inflating the currency – the threat of deflation – is a deception. It is also obviously an ill-begotten and underhanded attempt to improve our competitive trade position. But it won't help much in that respect. We don't have much to sell these days, and our production costs would have to be cut far below what American labor could accept to tempt many Chinese purchasers.

True, a few very rich Chinese are buying American cars. But that's an exception that will not develop into a rule.

Yes, there may be deflation in the financial sector, since it has operated huge auxiliary Ponzi schemes that have imploded, but the real American economy is in depression as people are experiencing joblessness, home loss, and price inflation. The black holes that the Fed wants to fund and fill are the phantom economies that have brought our system into crisis – those created by the "too big to fails."

The Fed has been a major facilitator of the phantom, or shadow, economy and the creation of the great multi-faceted financial crisis, and it's efforts thus far have been to refund the Ponzi schemes to make them viable again for a while – an economically suicidal effort.

MAKING A SOW'S EAR OUT OF A SILK PURSE

At the time of the Bretton Woods Conference in 1944, the United States was on top of the world. The dollar was alleged, and pledged, to be as good as gold. The victorious allies of Europe, in the wake of the most disastrously destructive war in the history of mankind, embraced it. Since then we have defaulted on our gold pledge (1971 – much less due to faulty monetary policy than war policy and fiscal irresponsibility on the part of successive Congresses), the world has been forced to embrace a purely fiat dollar debt standard. The world didn't like it, but there was little that could be done to avoid it.

We were still the preeminent world power in literally every way. We were still the richest, most productive, most militarily powerful, nation in the world. We were the world's greatest exporting economy, the world's greatest creditor, and the free world's greatest all-around benefactor. And we had the richest and most coveted market in the world. All of this in spite of decades of increasing congressional deficit spending.

When gold was removed from the American monetary system, the "full faith and credit" of the United States government and its peoples became the only backing of the global currency. The system worked as long as American economy was robust. Most of the debt that backed the dollar was paid for by America's amazingly productive industrial economy. The debt behind the currency was largely internal debt. But that could not last for a global currency and an increasingly globalized economy.

The nation operated at a net profit, with a positive balance of payments and favorable balance of trade, producing much more wealth than it imported. Treasury bonds sold into the marketplace to unleash money were largely purchased by American financial institutions, businesses, and individuals circa 1940s. Though the Treasury bond market was international, the popular fiction that "we owed the debt to ourselves" was at least true to significantly degree. "Ourselves" didn't quite mean "we the people" however. It mostly meant "We, Wall Street and the big bankers, and a few foreign central banks."

The Federal Reserve System has always been a Ponzi scheme, but it was a low-key Ponzi scheme until the post WWII era, that would work and be sustainable as long as the nation itself operated on a profitable basis and national production and income continued to expand.

Korea hurt, but the Cold War and the Vietnam War were killers. Many straws were braking the camel's back by then, breaking the system, and finally forcing the United States to repudiate it's gold-backed currency. The nation was still producing, but government had begun spending more than it could afford, running large deficits, and accumulating a huge debt. And, as we have seen, this situation became institutionalized and intentional.

The full-blown welfare state immerged during the Vietnam War and forced deficit hyper-spending that would have proven unsustainable in any free-market society, putting the monetary Ponzi scheme onto ever-thinner ice. But, when the gold-stop was removed – removing the main source of fiscal and monetary discipline from the equation – Congress lost all fiscal sanity. It's main fiscal function became to spend, spend, spend, stopping periodically to raise the debt ceiling to keep from bumping and bruising their heads.

As a result, our nation's fortunes declined and went into reverse during the early Reagan years. We went from being the world's biggest creditor nation to the world's greatest debtor nation. The administration rejoiced in the good news that we were becoming a nation of servants (a service economy), "knowledge workers," and financial speculators. Business boomed, but it was not the business of producing wealth. It was the business of shuffling and concentrating it. The gutting of the economy went into high gear amidst the great Reagan business prosperity. Cannibalization and corporate collectivization, of theretofore profitable domestic businesses, came into vogue. The terms "hostile take-over" became familiar, as did the runaway flag corporation.

Globalism (which had been waiting in the wings for a long time), was at hand. We produced less and needed to import increasingly more, as the era of free trade was whooped up as the most positive thing that could possibly contribute to our prosperity.

In spite of an era of little warfare during the last two decades of the twentieth century, deficit spending continued to increase at an alarming rate. It was impossible for Reagan to balance the budget as promised. It was found that it was impossible to kill or reduce government programs. The best that could be hoped for was to arrest their growth somewhat. To "cut the budget" became to "slow the growth of government spending" – never to actually cut anything! So nothing resulted in a decrease in spending. Spending always went up. And now the "upright spike" has arrived!

After "We owe it to ourselves" became passé as an excuse to be deeply in debt, it became "Our debt level doesn't matter as long as business is expanding." Conservative pundits like Rush Limbaugh finally fell, hook, line, and sinker, for that one. But the great business expansion was of the wrong variety. It was money shuffling expansion rather than the expansion of wealth creating productive enterprise. Actual wealth production was actually being exported to others elsewhere.

SO, HERE WE ARE!

Our entire money supply consists of monetized debt. And when we became a debtor nation, we could no longer fund our own debt, and the global money supply was increasingly dependent on the sales of Treasury bonds to foreign banks, financial institutions, and other international investors. The dollar was the world's reserve currency, and and current account and trade deficits were the only way to get the dollars out where they were needed!

International trade began increasing exponentially, with the United States being the major market. American industrial capital was given license to flee the flag and produce elsewhere in order to develop other markets and increase profits on Wall Street. Systemic national economic suicide became entrenched national economic policy.

As the national debt grew, it was increasingly taken up by foreign investors who had an increasing stake in the American economy – every dollar in foreign circulation was a claim against it. But the system was upside down and destructive to United States interests, and, ultimately, to everybody else playing the game as well.

The international monetary Ponzi scheme reached a critical point, and many bubbles began to burst in 2007-8 and until today. Our debt went into hyper-overdrive. Our creditors began to get nervous about the biggest bubble of all – the exponentially expanding American deficit and national debt. They'd lost faith in what had become an obviously corrupt system. It makes little sense to invest in what appears, even to the untrained eye, to be an ongoing train wreck.  

So, if our entire money supply consists of monetized debt anyway, how can quantitative easing be considered so bad? What's the difference? Quantitative easing is "self-dealing" for self-interests in a monetary system that we've effectively tricked the world into accepting, requiring it to play according to the rules we set up. We're breaking the rules, to the detriment of all of our creditors and all of the people of the world that hold dollar assets, and our own already tarnished credibility. It's that simple.

There is, however, one advantage to quantitative easing as opposed to selling our debt to foreign central banks. While quantitative easing increases the national debt, it at least does not increase the foreign component of the debt – and it is the foreign component of the national debt that is, and is going to continue to be, our major problem when it finally becomes necessary to engage in some sort of serious monetary reform and balancing of accounts. If we owed all of our debt to the Fed, we could almost once again say that "We owe it to ourselves," but that time has past.

In the final analysis, all of our money is based on nothing more than "the full faith and credit of the nation." If we had a strictly national currency of our own, we could loan ourselves enough money to revive our economy. (And we would never have got into the fixe we find ourselves in, in the first place!) But we have hamstrung ourselves by using an international bank cartel dollar. We don't just owe it to ourselves, but to the world – and that is an extraordinarily difficult situation to be in. Without serious monetary reform, and a return to national currencies issued by national treasuries rather than international banks, whatever we do will have to be wrong.

JQP


SUNDAY, 14 NOVEMBER, 2010

BLEEPING OBSCENE NATION!

"Obscene language on primetime television, according to a new study, is on a meteoric rise in both frequency and intensity – with the 'f-word,' for example, being spoken or bleeped 25 times as often as it was only five years ago..."


Read "Family Television? Better Think Again," by Drew Zahn (World Net Daily)

It isn't just prime time TV. Oddly enough, Pridger listens to Public Radio quite a bit because of the often interesting variety of programming, including classical music and bluegrass. But in recent years, Pridger hears more and more things he'd rather not hear on PBS, and finds himself frequently switching the radio off. Increasingly, talk show interviews honor guests whose words of wisdom have to be bleeped out – and the host laughs and apparently thinks it's wonderful. Such programs as "Fresh Air" have fallen into this category. Fresh Air?

"Adult language" has come to PBS in a big way, though it is still bleeped out. This is a scandal – or it should be. Garrison Keillor's delightful, and once completely wholesome, Prairie Home Companion is now liberally peppered with fart jokes – Keillor apparently loves fart jokes – and sexual innuendo these days. It's an outrage, but the audience laughs and applauds on queue.

It isn't just language. We have become the VIAGRA NATION! Viagra and Cialis sexual enhancement commercials are all over network and cable television, prime time and otherwise. What does this tell us about our culture? And what does it tell our kids?

At the same time we have fixated on sex offenders as the most abominable class of offenders, whose crimes are never forgiven or forgotten, no matter how petty the offense or how many years have been served as punishment. Mere murderers and major bank robbers don't have to register once their time has been served, but the sex offender is never free. They are considered almost in a class with convicted terrorists. Yet our very culture has come to be a huge sex and porn marketing machine, sold in movies and prime-time commercials.

Perhaps Clinton's X-rated presidential administration had something to do with the liberalization of the airways.

We're in the midst of national moral bankruptcy, and the correlation with corporate corruption, financial collapse, and national monetary bankruptcy are not just coincidental. It appears that it's all part of the same comprehensive program.

Today we decry the double standards of former times. But in the old days the majority society always strove toward higher moral ideals. There was plenty of hypocrisy, of course, but people attempted to at least have a civilized moral veneer. The figurative red light district was always kept in the background. But now the red light district and porn industries are right up front in everybody's living rooms, and the whole culture has been downgraded toward gutter standards.

There are still plenty of double or triple standards, but now the lines between good and bad, moral and immoral, have been blurred. And the moral standards of the base culture has been lowered almost to zero. While it's okay for everybody to have the moral standards of prostitutes and johnshonest prostitution remains illegal. Society tells us, "By all means do it at every opportunity! But don't do it as an honest business transaction!"

Immorality has become almost universally persuasive at all levels of society, business, and government – and, obviously, it is bringing the whole system down. 

JQP


 

 

 

HOW THE ECONOMY WAS LOST
The War of the Worlds

Paul Craig Roberts has published a collection of some of his best columns, and they should be required reading for anybody who cares about this country. As Pridger has been saying for years, our politicians and the financial capitalists that pull their stings have figured out the formula to bring this great nation down – and they have been implementing policy to that end for several decades.  

AMAZON REVIEW

An education for the inquiring conservative

I like to read Paul Craig Roberts's columns, because he is a true conservative, not a "Republican." Since the Republican party has been taken over by certain notions that have led us astray in recent decades, there is nothing better than being able to stay on course with Roberts' informed opinions. I put Pat Buchanan and Kevin Phillips and maybe Ron Paul into the same category.

The fact that this book is mainly a collection of columns published elsewhere by Roberts in recent years, is both the strength and the weakness of this volume. Roberts' columns are so full of information that the average person would not have access to otherwise, that it is great they have been preserved between the covers of a book. On the other hand, since the author follows certain themes in his work, the reader is faced with a lot of repetition, rather than an argument where one chapter builds upon the last. However, this could be a good thing, as it reinforces in the reader's mind the view he holds about the global economy, so-called "free trade," the prospects of the middle class under these politicians and bureaucrats who have hi-jacked our economy, and related matters that affect our lives every day.

Roberts also has well-defended dissenting views on the foreign policy of our nation, similar to those held by Buchanan, Phillips, and Ron Paul. I have learned to regard the mainstream news through the lens of these writers' opinions, and I think this volume of Paul Craig Roberts' collected columns is well worth buying. It is great for showing to friends to clarify where we stand, and why. It is also great for quick reference purposes. Definitely a good title to own.

Read more reviews or buy the book here: HOW THE ECONOMY WAS LOST

October 3, 2010

GIVE US PROTECTION AND PROSPERITY!

Protectionism is considered heresy today, but look where free trade has gotten us so far! We're literally up a creek without a paddle – or more accurately, down the river! Our nation – the richest nation in the world – is no longer able to pay its own way in the world! Everybody knows we have a serious problem, but nobody is looking at the source of the problem. No politician or news commentator has the guts to state the obvious.

What is obvious is that our national marketplace has been given away. The national marketplace is synonymous with the national economy, and if the management does not protect that market in the interests of the owner-operators – if it allows others to invade and take over that marketplace – profits will no longer accrue to the rightful owners. Unemployment sill soar. This is what is happening, and it is why the once most productive nation in the world is no longer productive enough to supply its own basic necessities, and must borrow to finance it's consumption and living standards.

These are the fruits of free trade – which is neither free nor cheap – and it's not as if nobody ever told us. Here's a political speech from over a century ago, and it needs to be given in the halls of Congress once again! 

Robert G. Ingersoll (1833-1899), was one of America's more colorful political figures, social thinkers, and orators of the latter part of the nineteenth century. When remembered at all, he is often referred to as the "Great Agnostic," due to his (then) politically incorrect views on religion. The following excerpt is taken from a speech given in Chicago and New York, probably in the year 1896, while on the stump on behalf of incumbent Republican president William McKinley who was up for re-election. The purpose here is to illustrate the argument for protection and against free trade as articulated a little over a century ago.
     The argument for protection won out in 1896 and until post World War II internationalism took Washington by storm.
     Protection, of course, is one of the few legitimate functions of a limited republican government under our Constitution, and its rationale nothing short of what was once considered economic common sense. The role of government is to protect its soil and citizens from invasion — whether by foreign armies, unwanted immigration, or import invasion — to protect our national marketplace within our own borders, and preserve conditions conductive of the right to life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.
     Under our present new international economic order globalist policies (which have been in high gear only since the disintegration of the Soviet Union), free trade has won out against the protective tariff. Today the results (if not the causes), have becoming clear even to some of the most politically and economically challenged minds. Unfortunately, most of our mis-representatives in Washington still refuse to get it.

ROBERT G. INGERSOLL
ON PROTECTION, FREE TRADE, AND LABOR
Circa 1896


Robert G. Ingersoll - 1833-1899

GIVE US PROTECTION AND PROSPERITY!

Give us Protection and Prosperity!

Do not cheat us with free trade dreams!

Do not deceive us with debased coin!

...Then there is another question – the question of the tariff. I admit that there are a great many arguments in favor of free trade, but I assert that all the facts are the other way. I want American people as far as possible to manufacture everything that Americans use.

The more industries we have the more we will develop the American brain, and the best crop you can raise in every country is a crop of good men and good women – of intelligent people. ...I want to keep this market for ourselves.

A nation that sells raw material will grow ignorant and poor; a nation that manufactures will grow intelligent and rich. It only takes muscle to dig ore. It takes mind to manufacture a locomotive, and only that labor is profitable that is mixed with thought. Muscle must be in partnership with brain.

I am in favor of keeping this market for ourselves, and yet some people say: "Give us the market of the world." Well, why don't you take it? There is no export duty on anything. You can get things out of this country cheaper than from any other country in the world. Iron is as cheap here in the ground, so are coal and stone, as any place on earth. The timber is as cheap in the forest.

Why don't you make things and sell them in Central Africa, in China and Japan? Why don't you do it?

I will tell you why. It is because (American) labor is too high; that is all. Almost the entire value is labor. You make a ton of steel rails worth twenty-five dollars; the ore in the ground is worth only a few cents, the coal in the earth only a few cents, the lime in the cliff only a few cents – altogether not one dollar and fifty cents; but the ton is worth twenty-five dollars; twenty-three dollars and fifty cents labor! That is the trouble. The steamship is worth five hundred thousand dollars, but the raw material is not worth ten thousand dollars. The rest is labor.

Why is labor higher here than in Europe? Protection. And why do these gentlemen ask for the trade of the world? Why do they ask for free trade? Because they want cheaper labor. That is all; cheaper labor. The markets of the world! We want our own markets. I would rather have the market of Illinois than all of China with her four hundred millions.

I would rather have the market of one good county in New York than all of Mexico.. What do they want in Mexico? A little red calico, a few sombreros and some spurs. They make their own liquor and they live on red pepper and beans. What do you want of their markets? We want to keep our own. In other words, we want to pursue the policy that has given us prosperity in the past.

We tried a little bit of free trade in 1892 when we were all prosperous. I said then: "If Grover Cleveland is elected it will cost the people five hundred million dollars." I am no prophet, nor the son of a prophet, nor a profitable son, but I placed the figure too low. His election has cost a thousand million dollars. There is an old song, "You Put the Wrong Man off at Buffalo;" we took the wrong man on at Buffalo. We tried just a little of it, not much. We tried the Wilson bill – a bill, according to Mr. Cleveland, born of perfidy and dishonor – a bill that he was not quite foolish enough to sign and not brave enough to veto. We tried it and we are tired of it, and if experience is a teacher the American people know a little more than they did.

We want to do our own work, and we want to mingle our thought with our labor. We are the most inventive of all the peoples. We sustain the same relation to invention that the ancient Greeks did to sculpture. We want to develop the brain; we want to cultivate the imagination, and we want to cover our land with happy homes...

And another thing we want is to produce great men and great women here in our own country; then again we want business. Talk about charity, talk about the few dollars that fall unconsciously from the hand of wealth, talk about your poorhouses and your sewing societies and your poor little efforts in the missionary line in the worst part of your town! Ah, there is no charity like business. Business gives work to labor's countless hands; business wipes the tears from the eyes of widows and orphans; business dimples with joy the cheek of sorrow; business puts a roof above the heads of the homeless; business covers the land with happy homes.

...Let all the wheels whirl; let all the shuttles fly. Fill the air with the echoes of hammer and saw. Fill the furnace with flame; the molds with liquid iron. Let them glow.

...Plow the fields, reap the waving grain. Create all things that man can use. Business will feed the hungry, clothe the naked, educate the ignorant, enrich the world with art – fill the air with song.

Give us Protection and Prosperity. Do not cheat us with free trade dreams. Do not deceive us with debased coin. Give us good money – the life blood of business – and let it flow through the veins and arteries of commerce.

And let me tell you to-night the smoke arising from the factories great plants forms the only cloud on which has ever been seen the glittering bow of American promise. We want work, and I tell you to-night that my sympathies are with the men who work, with the women who weep. I know that labor is the Atlas on whose shoulders rests the great superstructure of civilization and the great dome of science adorned with all there is of art. Labor is the great oak, labor is the great column, and labor, with its deft and cunning hands, has created the countless things of art and beauty.

I want to see labor paid. I want to see capital civilized until it will be willing to give labor its share, and I want labor intelligent enough to settle all these questions in the high court of reason. And let me tell the workingman to-night: You will never help your self by destroying your employer. You have work to sell. Somebody has to buy it, if it is bought, and somebody has to buy it that has the money. Who is going to manufacture something that will not sell? Nobody is going into the manufacturing business through philanthropy, and unless your employer makes a profit, the mill will be shut down and you will be out of work. The interest of the employer and the employed should be one. Whenever the employers of the continent are successful, then the workingman is better paid, and you know it. I have some hope in the future for the working- man...

Something has been done for labor. Only a few years ago a man worked fifteen or sixteen hours a day, but the hours have been reduced to at least ten and are on the way to still further reduction. And while the hours have been decreased the wages have as certainly been increased. In forty years -- in less -- the wages of American workingmen have doubled. A little while ago you received an average of two hundred and eighty-five dollars a year; now you receive an average of more than four hundred and ninety dollars; there is the difference. So it seems to me that the star of hope is still in the sky for every workingman. Then there is another thing: every workingman in this country can take his little boy on his knee and say, "John, all the avenues to distinction, wealth, and glory are open to you. There is the free school; take your chances with I the rest." And it seems to me that that thought ought to sweeten every drop of sweat that trickles down the honest brow of toil.

So let us have protection! How much? Enough, so that our income at least will equal our outgo. That is a good way to keep house. I am tired of depression and deficit. I do not like to see a President pawning bonds to raise money to pay his own salary. I do not like to see the great Republic at the mercy of anybody, so let us stand by protection.

*Ingersoll was a hard money man (gold standard), against the Populist free-silver movement championed by the Democratic challenger to McKinley, William Jennings Bryan.

JQP


All quotations and excerpts are based on non-profit "fair use" in the greater public interest consistent with the understanding of laws noted at http://www4.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.html.

 


 


UNFORTUNATELY, THE SILENT MAJORITY WAS NOT THE ANSWER

 

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